Sellside Slaving

Member Since 11/07/2018

  • Sellside Slaving 5 years ago on Day Traders, Volume V: I Have Questions

    With the way things are going right now you could probably smoke Will just going long cash.

    Most of the upside on anything you’ll see (aside from a momentum play) has already been realized once it’s hitting CNBC/WSJ. Read market commentary to get a picture of where things are (many large asset managers release weekly/monthly/quarterly papers to the public). Try and get a feel for what’s moving and in what direction. Once you have a picture of the state of play you’ll be better equipped to identify emerging trends.

    If you’re seriously interested in developing your own ideas I would highly recommend starting with a top-down research approach, very easy to pick up from a layman’s perspective if you understand fundamental economic concepts. You’ll learn far more useful info along the way than trying to pick out a winner from penny stocks.

    Simply put, you start with a broader trend and through directed questioning, arrive at the ultimate beneficiaries of said trend. For example, oil prices are cratering right now amid demand concerns. What does that mean for exporters / producers of oil? What does that mean for those whose businesses are heavily reliant on oil as a production input? Of these businesses, which has the most attractive valuation and for what reason? Why are they trading at a discount to their peers?

    It can be anything as short term as buying up lumber producers with high sales in an area hammered by a hurricane or long term as loading up on chip companies and 5G providers anticipating broad adoption of autonomous cars.

    You might not see the binary +30% overnight jumps, but you will learn important market mechanics that you can then re-use in other ideas. Arguably more important than gambling on a small cap and hitting it big once. You will grow your broad market acumen and if done right, end up with a portfolio that’s appropriately positioned for the next few months/years.

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